Sunday 14 August 2011

Do you think Sarah Palin will run for the GOP presidential nomination

When a professional athletic star's career has extended beyond its zenith, either as a player or a coach, they become broadcast commentators on the careers of other active stars. Being telegenic helps and articulation is relatively important. Of course having a really good agent and being handled by an agency like J. Walter Thompson is assumed. Sarah Palin is a commentator. Rube rhetoric and willful ignorance disqualified Palin from serious presidential candidacy a long time ago. She is famous for being famous and aging before achieving anything except commentary on herself on the political stage.


Back in March, Gallup polled opinion about the Republican candidates and found, “Notably, former Alaska Gov. and 2008 vice presidential candidate Sarah Palin's Positive Intensity Score of +16 puts her below the top scorers, despite her almost universal name recognition of 96 percent.” At that time she trailed Huckabee, Bachmann and Gingrich. The times change things.
The way Pew Research found it by July, “Overall, Romney continues to hold a significant lead among Republican voters: 21 percent say they would like to see him win the nomination. Rick Perry gets the support of 12 percent; 11 percent back Sarah Palin, 11 percent Michele Bachmann, 9 percent Ron Paul and 8 percent Herman Cain.” Palin came in third overall to Romney and Perry and ahead of Bachmann and the rest of the GOP candidate herd.
How about the rest of the pollsters? RealClearPolitics shows the composite poll numbers for Palin have her favored fourth behind Romney, Perry and Bachmann.


If she entered the race and split the vote with 0bachmann, she would become the pariah of the RIPs and Pee Turdiers. I don't think she is quite that stupid. When 0bachmann begins to slip, Palin might jump in then. Right now, she is just hanging around waiting to see if that will happen or if she will contribute her following to 0bachmann.


Former Republican vice presidential nominee Sarah Palin showed up at the Iowa State Fair although she skipped the first debate among the eight declared GOP nomination contenders. What do you think? Will she dive in? Is she waiting too long? What will happen to the field if and when she does?

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